Provoking a Path to Persia
19. Oct, 2011
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The Saban Center’s prescient paper on war with Iran
- Saban (left) with Condoleezza Rice, Tony Blair, and Ehud Olmert. Saban is Mossad’s bagman for the biggest war criminals of our time. A little Mossad money goes a long way when placed in the right hands.(Image courtesy webabuser.blogspot.com)
By Maidhc Ó Cathail
In June 2009, the Saban Center for Middle East Policy published “Which Path to Persia?—Options for a New American Strategy toward Iran.” Writing in a tone strikingly reminiscent of the Project for a New American Century’s infamous pre-9/11 paper “Rebuilding America’s Defenses,” the six co-authors noted that, “It seems highly unlikely that the United States would mount an invasion without any provocation or other buildup.” For a think tank specifically established by media mogul Haim Saban to protect Israel, this could prove to be a formidable obstacle impeding their desired march—of U.S. troops—to Tehran.
“In fact, if the United States were to decide that to garner greater international support, galvanize U.S. domestic support, and/or provide a legal justification for an invasion, it would be best to wait for an Iranian provocation, then the time frame for an invasion might stretch out indefinitely,” Saban’s think-tankers ruefully observed.
“With only one real exception, since the 1978 revolution, the Islamic Republic has never willingly provoked an American military response, although it certainly has taken actions that could have done so if Washington had been looking for a fight. Thus it is not impossible that Tehran might take some action that would justify an American invasion. And it is certainly the case that if Washington sought such a provocation, it could take actions that might make it more likely that Tehran would do so (although being too obvious about this could nullify the provocation). However, since it would be up to Iran to make the provocative move, which Iran has been wary of doing most times in the past, the United States would never know for sure when it would get the requisite Iranian provocation. In fact, it might never come at all.”
Seemingly undeterred by Iran’s frustrating unwillingness to provide the requisite provocation, the analysts continued to examine this option:
“As noted above, in the section on the time frame for an invasion, whether the United States decides to invade Iran with or without a provocation is a critical consideration. With provocation, the international diplomatic and domestic political requirements of an invasion would be mitigated, and the more outrageous the Iranian provocation (and the less that the United States is seen to be goading Iran), the more these challenges would be diminished. In the absence of a sufficiently horrific provocation, meeting these requirements would be daunting.”
Ruling out the likelihood of “an overt, incontrovertible, and unforgivable act of aggression—something on the order of an Iranian-backed 9/11 … given Iran’s history of avoiding such acts,” the authors went on to explore where “the question of provocation gets murky.”
“Most European, Asian, and Middle Eastern publics are dead set against any American military action against Iran derived from the current differences between Iran and the international community—let alone Iran and the United States,” they wistfully noted. “Other than a Tehran-sponsored 9/11, it is hard to imagine what would change their minds.”
Even Iran’s long-time Sunni rival in the region appeared recalcitrant to the idea. “Saudi Arabia is positively apoplectic about the Iranians’ nuclear program, as well as about their mischief making in Lebanon, Iraq, and the Palestinian territories,” the pro-Israeli analysts empathised. “Yet, so far, Riyadh has made clear that it will not support military operations of any kind against Iran. Certainly that could change, but it is hard to imagine what it would take.”
Would a dastardly plot to blow up King Abdullah’s “hand-picked, trusted envoy” in a D.C. restaurant suffice, perchance?
At least, the lead author of “Which Path to Persia?” seems to think so. On October 11, Kenneth Pollack opined on “Iran’s Covert War Against the United States”: “It’s shocking, but not entirely surprising to learn that the United States government has evidence that the Iranian regime was trying to kill Saudi Ambassador to the United States Adel al-Jubeir.”
Adel Al-Jubeir, the Saudi ambassador to the United States
Posing as a responsible sceptic regarding the ludicrous plot, Pollack concluded that the ultra-cautious regime he analysed for the Saban Center two years previously—relevant information not provided to the reader—may have changed for the worse: “But, if this incredible claim is proven true, it should remind us that Iran also is not a normal country by any stretch of the imagination, and that in a Middle East already in turmoil we now face a more aggressive, more risk-taking Iran that may be looking to stir the pot in ways that it once found imprudent.”
As Stephen M. Walt remarked about an earlier Tehran-baiting paper by the Saban Center director, “It is hard to read this piece without hearkening back to Pollack’s The Threatening Storm, the book that convinced many liberals to support the invasion of Iraq in 2003. What made that book especially persuasive was Pollack’s depiction of himself as a former dove who had oh-so-reluctantly concluded that there was no option but to go to war.”
Interestingly, The Daily Beast/Newsweek which published Pollack’s op-ed is partly owned by Jane Harman, whose service in Congress reportedly included a quid pro quo with an Israeli agent, involving political donations from billionaire Haim Saban, to lobby the Department of Justice to reduce espionage charges against two officials at the American Israel Public Affairs Committee. Pollack, a former member of the National Security Council, was mentioned in the indictment against Steve Rosen and Keith Weissman as one of the government officials who provided information to the two former AIPAC employees about—you guessed it—Iran.
When asked “who would want to create the impression” that the United States needs to engage in military activity against Iran, former CIA operative Michael Scheuer replied, “If I was looking at a counterintelligence operation to decide where this information came from, I’d be very interested to see if I could find an Israeli hand or a Saudi hand.”
Thanks to Kenneth Pollack, that search can now be narrowed.
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Maidhc Ó Cathail
Maidhc Ó Cathail is a political analyst and editor of The Passionate Attachment.
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Jewish “heroes” are made according to an unwritten script that deludes humanity as to what ,exactly, comprises God’s perception of Jewishness from a loftier standpoint by far, than the selfish Jews of the wall can construe as ‘Jewishness”.
Today, I received an email from Rebecca Wilkomerson, A Jew working with a nominee of the membership of the Jewish Federation from her post at Jewish Voices ofr Peace, Cecelie Surasky.
Cecelie, running in the top ten among thousands of other nominees for this vaunted award, was STRICKEN summarily from the competition by some unseen US Jewish force that saw her Jewishness as a shame to their Jewish brand which supports shamefulness in the Israeli occupation and ribald Jewish bigotry against Arab Palestinians.
What standard of Jewishness then does the Federation mete out to it’s constituents if a woman of Rebecca’s stature among peers is drawing support for her friend Cecelie after such a shocking affront to God’s definition of what Jewishness really is from a spiritual perspective of perfection in humanity as designed by it’s creator.
Cecelie Suraskt, an angelic person of great faith, love and devotion to her people is ostricised for bucking the zionist system of Mossad rebuking every anti occupation mind as Jew Hating, even though they be Jewish people in God’s eyes, The Federation, drinking from the cup of mammon, issues her her walking orders away from their community, Jews saying to their peers, this woman isnt among us, worthy of our love, consideration and kindness, reverence and grace. The witness of this debacle of Jewish insecurity, selfishness and geopolitical religionspeak against a know good hearted Jewish woman is the disgrace of the century to modern Jewry if not of the millenium.
Jews are people with Good hearts, not people who abuse their ethnicity to pass wrongful judgement of others without any sincere reasoning behind their errant judgments.
Just as Israel deligitimises itse;f by working outside of humanities most vaunted and nessesary laws, concentions and resolve to mitigate the results of unjust military occupation with the intention of ethnic cleansing of some people for the edification of others holding their peoples, lands and dreams hostage to Jewish illegality, war crimes and threats of annihilation at the hands of NATO forces doing the work of mossad agents, not NATO’s nations peoples, but Israel’s nations people.
Benjamin Netenyahu today, reinforces this edit of the Jewish federation to recently released prisoners in stateing that they will be tracked hunted and killed if they resist the occupation further, which is an unlawful statement of intention to commit further war crimes with further aiding and abetting from NATO, which must be disbanded if international law is to rule over humanity with fair consideration made for peoples under the brutal and undignified occupations of Israel and nATO.
To me, I see very grave rebuke coming to a very specious Jewish horde whose irresposibility in their current states of positioning illicits the reation from US secret forces of removing them from their precious seats of sedition to jail cells for the rest of their lives if not tried for sedition and convicted and punished by the taking of freedom, holding lands and monies and rendering of these assets to the victims of thier crimes. If this just resolve of courts cannot be ajdjudicated by it’s benches and barristers, Saban, Soros Koch, the ZOA, Jewish Federation and their shady orgs ngos and lobbys must be forced from their positions in revolution, bloody though it may be, we the people have the right to throw off unjust governance by our right to assemble form militias and bare arms against corrupt governance treasonous affronts to justice and blashemous ethnic slurs against real Jews doing what real Jews do, showing their good hearts by their good works under G0d’s domains, If Cecelie is dismissed from the federations candidates for being a Hero to her people, a great crowd of Jews defames itsel;f, delegitimizing their way of life and with this their Jewishness, which God recognises not for virtue of their hatred and unfairness to humanity.
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